Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate in mid-to-late August typically produces daily highs near 31°C, consistent with long-term averages of 30–32°C and recent 2026 model guidance showing similar ranges amid high humidity and scattered thunderstorms. The market's concentration on 31°C (44%) and 32°C (27.5%) reflects this baseline, modulated by short-term steering patterns and any residual tropical moisture that can suppress or briefly elevate afternoon maxima. Official forecasts emphasize modest day-to-day variability rather than extremes, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C or 33°C+ outcomes given the narrow historical distribution for this date. Updated regional model runs and humidity observations will refine the near-term outlook ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の上海の最高気温は?
31°C 45%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
23%
31°C
45%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
23%
31°C
45%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate in mid-to-late August typically produces daily highs near 31°C, consistent with long-term averages of 30–32°C and recent 2026 model guidance showing similar ranges amid high humidity and scattered thunderstorms. The market's concentration on 31°C (44%) and 32°C (27.5%) reflects this baseline, modulated by short-term steering patterns and any residual tropical moisture that can suppress or briefly elevate afternoon maxima. Official forecasts emphasize modest day-to-day variability rather than extremes, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C or 33°C+ outcomes given the narrow historical distribution for this date. Updated regional model runs and humidity observations will refine the near-term outlook ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問