Latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a modest high of 22–23 °C on 18 August under broken cloud and light westerly flow after the intense high-pressure ridge that produced 35 °C on the 15th. Trader consensus clusters on these values because daytime heating will be tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and scattered showers that reduce surface insolation, while modest southerly advection keeps the floor near 21 °C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any convective initiation and the strength of the capping inversion; a clearer, drier slot would favor the upper side of the range, whereas earlier or thicker cloud decks would cap temperatures closer to 21 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月18日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
22°C 32%
21°C 24%
23°C 24%
20°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
24%
22°C
32%
23°C
24%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 32%
21°C 24%
23°C 24%
20°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$43 Vol.
24%
22°C
$28 Vol.
32%
23°C
$93 Vol.
24%
24°C
$229 Vol.
5%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a modest high of 22–23 °C on 18 August under broken cloud and light westerly flow after the intense high-pressure ridge that produced 35 °C on the 15th. Trader consensus clusters on these values because daytime heating will be tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and scattered showers that reduce surface insolation, while modest southerly advection keeps the floor near 21 °C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any convective initiation and the strength of the capping inversion; a clearer, drier slot would favor the upper side of the range, whereas earlier or thicker cloud decks would cap temperatures closer to 21 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$393終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a modest high of 22–23 °C on 18 August under broken cloud and light westerly flow after the intense high-pressure ridge that produced 35 °C on the 15th. Trader consensus clusters on these values because daytime heating will be tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and scattered showers that reduce surface insolation, while modest southerly advection keeps the floor near 21 °C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any convective initiation and the strength of the capping inversion; a clearer, drier slot would favor the upper side of the range, whereas earlier or thicker cloud decks would cap temperatures closer to 21 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$393終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) points to a modest high of 22–23 °C on 18 August under broken cloud and light westerly flow after the intense high-pressure ridge that produced 35 °C on the 15th. Trader consensus clusters on these values because daytime heating will be tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and scattered showers that reduce surface insolation, while modest southerly advection keeps the floor near 21 °C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any convective initiation and the strength of the capping inversion; a clearer, drier slot would favor the upper side of the range, whereas earlier or thicker cloud decks would cap temperatures closer to 21 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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