Weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 clustering around 26–27°C, matching the market’s leading implied probabilities. Late-summer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high promote warm, humid air masses with modest nocturnal radiative cooling, while variations in cloud cover, humidity, and light precipitation potential drive the 1°C spread between leading outcomes. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city can further moderate overnight lows relative to surrounding rural areas. Historical August minima average near 26°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window. New high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the forecast ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の上海の最低気温は？
8月19日の上海の最低気温は？
27°C 44%
26℃ 30%
28°C 15%
24°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
21℃以下
1%
22℃
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
9%
26℃
30%
27°C
44%
28°C
15%
29℃
11%
30°C
6%
31°C以上
2%
27°C 44%
26℃ 30%
28°C 15%
24°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
21℃以下
$5 Vol.
1%
22℃
$5 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26℃
$20 Vol.
30%
27°C
$338 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29℃
$30 Vol.
11%
30°C
$5 Vol.
6%
31°C以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 clustering around 26–27°C, matching the market’s leading implied probabilities. Late-summer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high promote warm, humid air masses with modest nocturnal radiative cooling, while variations in cloud cover, humidity, and light precipitation potential drive the 1°C spread between leading outcomes. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city can further moderate overnight lows relative to surrounding rural areas. Historical August minima average near 26°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window. New high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the forecast ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$423終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 clustering around 26–27°C, matching the market’s leading implied probabilities. Late-summer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high promote warm, humid air masses with modest nocturnal radiative cooling, while variations in cloud cover, humidity, and light precipitation potential drive the 1°C spread between leading outcomes. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city can further moderate overnight lows relative to surrounding rural areas. Historical August minima average near 26°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window. New high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the forecast ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$423終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETWeather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 clustering around 26–27°C, matching the market’s leading implied probabilities. Late-summer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high promote warm, humid air masses with modest nocturnal radiative cooling, while variations in cloud cover, humidity, and light precipitation potential drive the 1°C spread between leading outcomes. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city can further moderate overnight lows relative to surrounding rural areas. Historical August minima average near 26°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window. New high-resolution model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the forecast ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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