**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions. Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date. Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月21日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
20°C 57%
19°C 24%
21°C 19%
22°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
24%
20°C
46%
21°C
19%
22°C
10%
23℃
7%
24°C
<1%
25℃以上
1%
20°C 57%
19°C 24%
21°C 19%
22°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
15°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$73 Vol.
1%
17°C
$8 Vol.
4%
18°C
$10 Vol.
7%
19°C
$52 Vol.
24%
20°C
$251 Vol.
46%
21°C
$22 Vol.
19%
22°C
$15 Vol.
10%
23℃
$5 Vol.
7%
24°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions.
Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date.
Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$466終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions.
Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date.
Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$466終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 19–21°C outcomes, with 20°C leading at 46% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather pointing to a daytime maximum near 20–21°C (roughly 68–70°F) under moderating late-summer conditions. Key drivers include the seasonal decline in solar insolation and strengthening westerly flow off the North Sea, which typically caps coastal highs around the long-term late-August average of 21–22°C. Early August heat (locally exceeding 30°C) has given way to cooler, more variable patterns with increased cloud cover and showers that limit peak heating. Ensemble forecasts show limited upside risk above 22°C and only modest downside to 18°C or below, consistent with historical variability for the date. Upcoming model runs and official updates from KNMI or the Met Office over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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