Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability and the city's typical mid-winter climatology of 15–17°C. Mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover have supported temperatures slightly above seasonal normals in recent days, while steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling set a narrow range around this value. Updated model runs show low variance across ensembles, reducing upside risk for 18°C or higher and downside for 14°C or below, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
16°C 54%
17°C 25%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
54%
17°C
25%
18°C
8%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 54%
17°C 25%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
54%
17°C
25%
18°C
8%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 19, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability and the city's typical mid-winter climatology of 15–17°C. Mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover have supported temperatures slightly above seasonal normals in recent days, while steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling set a narrow range around this value. Updated model runs show low variance across ensembles, reducing upside risk for 18°C or higher and downside for 14°C or below, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問