Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C (88–91°F) for Chengdu on August 20, 2026, amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C because ensemble models show modest spread in peak heating driven by variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and the timing of any thundershowers, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages of 30–32°C highs provide baseline context, while the two-day lead time limits resolution of finer-scale variables such as urban heat-island effects or precise precipitation timing. Upcoming model runs from national meteorological centers will likely refine these probabilities before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の成都の最高気温は?
30°C 31%
29°C 23%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
23%
30°C
31%
31°C
19%
32°C
8%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 31%
29°C 23%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
23%
30°C
31%
31°C
19%
32°C
8%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C (88–91°F) for Chengdu on August 20, 2026, amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C because ensemble models show modest spread in peak heating driven by variable cloud cover, wind patterns, and the timing of any thundershowers, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages of 30–32°C highs provide baseline context, while the two-day lead time limits resolution of finer-scale variables such as urban heat-island effects or precise precipitation timing. Upcoming model runs from national meteorological centers will likely refine these probabilities before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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