Recent forecasts from multiple agencies point to a daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and widespread cloud cover with thundery showers that limit solar heating. Current observations show highs of 30–31°C on preceding days, consistent with climatological August averages of 32°C and the moderating influence of regional rainfall patterns. Model consensus favors limited intensification due to steering flows and moisture, though minor variations in timing of showers could shift outcomes by 1°C. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these near-term guidance updates ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の深センの最高気温は?
32°C 39%
33°C 26%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
17%
32°C
39%
33°C
26%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 26%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
17%
32°C
39%
33°C
26%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple agencies point to a daily maximum near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 20, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and widespread cloud cover with thundery showers that limit solar heating. Current observations show highs of 30–31°C on preceding days, consistent with climatological August averages of 32°C and the moderating influence of regional rainfall patterns. Model consensus favors limited intensification due to steering flows and moisture, though minor variations in timing of showers could shift outcomes by 1°C. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these near-term guidance updates ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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