Traders see 31°C edging 30°C as the likeliest maximum in Panama City on August 18 because short-range model guidance shows only modest differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover during the peak of the rainy season. Persistent high humidity near 85% and typical afternoon thunderstorms can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, keeping values near the 29–30°C August climatological average, yet any delay in showers or clearer breaks allows brief warming toward 31°C. Official forecasts, including the Met Office outlook of 30°C, reflect this narrow spread, while AccuWeather ranges acknowledge occasional higher readings when steering patterns limit moisture. With resolution hinging on verified daily maximum observations, the tight probabilities capture genuine uncertainty in tropical model consensus rather than a strong directional signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
8月18日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
31℃ 37%
30°C 28%
29℃ 16%
32℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
7%
29℃
16%
30°C
28%
31℃
37%
32℃
11%
33°C
6%
34℃
1%
35°C以上
<1%
31℃ 37%
30°C 28%
29℃ 16%
32℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
25℃以下
$5 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$5 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$5 Vol.
1%
28℃
$170 Vol.
7%
29℃
$133 Vol.
16%
30°C
$46 Vol.
28%
31℃
$37 Vol.
37%
32℃
$107 Vol.
11%
33°C
$34 Vol.
6%
34℃
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C以上
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 31°C edging 30°C as the likeliest maximum in Panama City on August 18 because short-range model guidance shows only modest differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover during the peak of the rainy season. Persistent high humidity near 85% and typical afternoon thunderstorms can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, keeping values near the 29–30°C August climatological average, yet any delay in showers or clearer breaks allows brief warming toward 31°C. Official forecasts, including the Met Office outlook of 30°C, reflect this narrow spread, while AccuWeather ranges acknowledge occasional higher readings when steering patterns limit moisture. With resolution hinging on verified daily maximum observations, the tight probabilities capture genuine uncertainty in tropical model consensus rather than a strong directional signal.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
音量
$552終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 31°C edging 30°C as the likeliest maximum in Panama City on August 18 because short-range model guidance shows only modest differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover during the peak of the rainy season. Persistent high humidity near 85% and typical afternoon thunderstorms can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, keeping values near the 29–30°C August climatological average, yet any delay in showers or clearer breaks allows brief warming toward 31°C. Official forecasts, including the Met Office outlook of 30°C, reflect this narrow spread, while AccuWeather ranges acknowledge occasional higher readings when steering patterns limit moisture. With resolution hinging on verified daily maximum observations, the tight probabilities capture genuine uncertainty in tropical model consensus rather than a strong directional signal.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$552終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETTraders see 31°C edging 30°C as the likeliest maximum in Panama City on August 18 because short-range model guidance shows only modest differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover during the peak of the rainy season. Persistent high humidity near 85% and typical afternoon thunderstorms can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, keeping values near the 29–30°C August climatological average, yet any delay in showers or clearer breaks allows brief warming toward 31°C. Official forecasts, including the Met Office outlook of 30°C, reflect this narrow spread, while AccuWeather ranges acknowledge occasional higher readings when steering patterns limit moisture. With resolution hinging on verified daily maximum observations, the tight probabilities capture genuine uncertainty in tropical model consensus rather than a strong directional signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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