Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月19日のロンドンの最低気温は？
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
18℃ 17%
14℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
11℃以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13℃
4%
14℃
9%
15°C
7%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18℃
17%
19℃
5%
20°C
1%
21°C以上
<1%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
18℃ 17%
14℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
11℃以下
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
1%
13℃
$5 Vol.
4%
14℃
$5 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$182 Vol.
40%
17°C
$408 Vol.
39%
18℃
$29 Vol.
17%
19℃
$4 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C以上
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$652終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$652終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETForecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum near 15°C for London on August 19 amid continued mild conditions, with overnight lows shaped by light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched 16°C and 17°C market probabilities reflect small uncertainties in nocturnal boundary-layer processes: clearer skies and calmer air would enhance longwave heat loss and favor the lower end, while increased cloud or urban heat-island effects from London’s built environment could hold temperatures nearer 17°C. Elevated sea-surface temperatures from the warm 2026 summer further moderate minima compared with historical August averages around 13–14°C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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