Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate Miami will reach the mid- to upper-90s on August 19 amid a persistent warm, humid pattern with limited cloud cover and light steering winds from the southeast. This aligns with observed highs of 95°F on recent days, exceeding the 1991–2020 normal maximum of 91°F and approaching the 96°F daily record set in 2022. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain low enough to support peak heating, while heat-index values near 110°F reflect elevated moisture typical of late-summer conditions. Model consensus favors 96–97°F as the most probable daily maximum, explaining the 53% market-implied probability, with upside limited by the historical ceiling and potential for brief convective cooling. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のマイアミの最高気温は？
8月19日のマイアミの最高気温は？
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 12%
100〜101°F 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
12%
100〜101°F
3%
102～103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106°F以上
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 12%
100〜101°F 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
87°F or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,432 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$526 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$807 Vol.
32%
96-97°F
$782 Vol.
54%
98-99°F
$783 Vol.
12%
100〜101°F
$1,160 Vol.
3%
102～103°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
104〜105°F
$312 Vol.
<1%
106°F以上
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate Miami will reach the mid- to upper-90s on August 19 amid a persistent warm, humid pattern with limited cloud cover and light steering winds from the southeast. This aligns with observed highs of 95°F on recent days, exceeding the 1991–2020 normal maximum of 91°F and approaching the 96°F daily record set in 2022. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain low enough to support peak heating, while heat-index values near 110°F reflect elevated moisture typical of late-summer conditions. Model consensus favors 96–97°F as the most probable daily maximum, explaining the 53% market-implied probability, with upside limited by the historical ceiling and potential for brief convective cooling. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
音量
$7,489終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate Miami will reach the mid- to upper-90s on August 19 amid a persistent warm, humid pattern with limited cloud cover and light steering winds from the southeast. This aligns with observed highs of 95°F on recent days, exceeding the 1991–2020 normal maximum of 91°F and approaching the 96°F daily record set in 2022. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain low enough to support peak heating, while heat-index values near 110°F reflect elevated moisture typical of late-summer conditions. Model consensus favors 96–97°F as the most probable daily maximum, explaining the 53% market-implied probability, with upside limited by the historical ceiling and potential for brief convective cooling. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,489終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate Miami will reach the mid- to upper-90s on August 19 amid a persistent warm, humid pattern with limited cloud cover and light steering winds from the southeast. This aligns with observed highs of 95°F on recent days, exceeding the 1991–2020 normal maximum of 91°F and approaching the 96°F daily record set in 2022. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain low enough to support peak heating, while heat-index values near 110°F reflect elevated moisture typical of late-summer conditions. Model consensus favors 96–97°F as the most probable daily maximum, explaining the 53% market-implied probability, with upside limited by the historical ceiling and potential for brief convective cooling. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問