**Recent drier conditions across Singapore during the first half of August, driven by the southwest monsoon, have supported daily maximum temperatures mostly in the 32–34°C range, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes.** Singapore’s equatorial location produces consistently high temperatures with limited seasonal variation, where August averages hover near 31–32°C. Reduced cloud cover and rainfall from the drier pattern allow greater solar insolation and surface heating, modestly elevating peaks without pushing into extreme territory. Official outlooks from Singapore’s NEA highlighted below-average rainfall and fair, occasionally windy conditions through mid-month, which traders appear to interpret as favoring 32°C (57.5% implied probability) or 33°C (31.5%). Lower odds on 31°C or 34°C+ reflect the narrow historical distribution and limited model spread for this short-range period, with August 20 falling just after the driest window but still under similar atmospheric steering. Updated local forecasts and any late-week convective activity will be the key near-term drivers for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 57%
33°C 32%
31°C 9%
34°C 2.9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
57%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
33°C 32%
31°C 9%
34°C 2.9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
57%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent drier conditions across Singapore during the first half of August, driven by the southwest monsoon, have supported daily maximum temperatures mostly in the 32–34°C range, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes.** Singapore’s equatorial location produces consistently high temperatures with limited seasonal variation, where August averages hover near 31–32°C. Reduced cloud cover and rainfall from the drier pattern allow greater solar insolation and surface heating, modestly elevating peaks without pushing into extreme territory. Official outlooks from Singapore’s NEA highlighted below-average rainfall and fair, occasionally windy conditions through mid-month, which traders appear to interpret as favoring 32°C (57.5% implied probability) or 33°C (31.5%). Lower odds on 31°C or 34°C+ reflect the narrow historical distribution and limited model spread for this short-range period, with August 20 falling just after the driest window but still under similar atmospheric steering. Updated local forecasts and any late-week convective activity will be the key near-term drivers for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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