Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, 2026, consistent with regional observations of 26–30°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and typical August humidity near 80–90%. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines around 26–27°C for the date and reflects limited overnight cooling due to high moisture and weak synoptic winds. Market-implied odds near 100% for 26°C indicate strong trader confidence in verified station data over model forecasts. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from primary sites or unresolved discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though such revisions are rare after initial reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の香港の最低気温は?
26℃ 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$49,224 Vol.
$49,224 Vol.
22°C以下
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
はい
27°C
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
26℃ 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$49,224 Vol.
$49,224 Vol.
22°C以下
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
はい
27°C
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, 2026, consistent with regional observations of 26–30°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and typical August humidity near 80–90%. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines around 26–27°C for the date and reflects limited overnight cooling due to high moisture and weak synoptic winds. Market-implied odds near 100% for 26°C indicate strong trader confidence in verified station data over model forecasts. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from primary sites or unresolved discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though such revisions are rare after initial reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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