Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 22, placing the 80–81 °F bin as the clear market leader. A cooler-than-normal air mass, modest lake breeze influence from Lake Michigan, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit peak heating below the 82 °F climatological normal. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk above 83 °F or downside below 78 °F given stable steering flow and only modest moisture. Updated short-range model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 78–81 °F window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のシカゴの最高気温は？
8月22日のシカゴの最高気温は？
80～81°F 49%
78～79°F 30%
82～83°F 13%
76～77°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
69°F以下
1%
70〜71°F
1%
72～73°F
1%
74〜75°F
3%
76～77°F
7%
78～79°F
30%
80～81°F
49%
82～83°F
13%
84～85°F
3%
86〜87°F
2%
88°F以上
1%
80～81°F 49%
78～79°F 30%
82～83°F 13%
76～77°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
69°F以下
$192 Vol.
1%
70〜71°F
$32 Vol.
1%
72～73°F
$59 Vol.
1%
74〜75°F
$49 Vol.
3%
76～77°F
$53 Vol.
7%
78～79°F
$86 Vol.
30%
80～81°F
$120 Vol.
49%
82～83°F
$90 Vol.
13%
84～85°F
$165 Vol.
3%
86〜87°F
$72 Vol.
2%
88°F以上
$170 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 22, placing the 80–81 °F bin as the clear market leader. A cooler-than-normal air mass, modest lake breeze influence from Lake Michigan, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit peak heating below the 82 °F climatological normal. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk above 83 °F or downside below 78 °F given stable steering flow and only modest moisture. Updated short-range model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 78–81 °F window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$1,086終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 22, placing the 80–81 °F bin as the clear market leader. A cooler-than-normal air mass, modest lake breeze influence from Lake Michigan, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit peak heating below the 82 °F climatological normal. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk above 83 °F or downside below 78 °F given stable steering flow and only modest moisture. Updated short-range model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 78–81 °F window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,086終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 22, placing the 80–81 °F bin as the clear market leader. A cooler-than-normal air mass, modest lake breeze influence from Lake Michigan, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit peak heating below the 82 °F climatological normal. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk above 83 °F or downside below 78 °F given stable steering flow and only modest moisture. Updated short-range model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 78–81 °F window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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