**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.** Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の香港の最高気温は?
30°C 41%
29°C 26%
31°C 23%
28°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
26%
30°C
41%
31°C
23%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
29°C 26%
31°C 23%
28°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
26%
30°C
41%
31°C
23%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21 centers on 29–31 °C, reflecting official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models showing a most likely maximum near 30–31 °C amid showers and cloudy conditions.** Typical August climatology features afternoon highs averaging 32 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, yet recent model guidance and current weather patterns indicate increased cloud cover and precipitation that should limit daytime heating. Earlier August heatwave conditions pushed readings above 35 °C, but the approaching period features higher rain probabilities that favor the market-implied peak around 30 °C. Updated forecasts in the next 48 hours from the Observatory and global ensembles will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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