Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on August 21, 2026, at the headquarters station, driving the 99.9% market-implied odds for that outcome. Typical late-August climatology features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions; the modest dip aligns with observed patterns and the absence of tropical disturbances or heavy rainfall that might otherwise suppress minima. Resolution depends solely on this verified official measurement rather than forecasts or models. While sensor recalibration or data revisions remain theoretically possible, they are highly improbable given established protocols, leaving negligible scope for alternative outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の香港の最低気温は?
25°C 99.8%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
22℃以下 <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
25°C 99.8%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
22℃以下 <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on August 21, 2026, at the headquarters station, driving the 99.9% market-implied odds for that outcome. Typical late-August climatology features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions; the modest dip aligns with observed patterns and the absence of tropical disturbances or heavy rainfall that might otherwise suppress minima. Resolution depends solely on this verified official measurement rather than forecasts or models. While sensor recalibration or data revisions remain theoretically possible, they are highly improbable given established protocols, leaving negligible scope for alternative outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問