Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on August 23, with a 30-50% chance of scattered showers and highs modeled near 31-34°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity—typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon influences—limit surface heating and promote modest cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects from any rainfall. Steering winds and regional pressure gradients remain the key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two, while climatological baselines show average August highs of 30.7°C. Updated JMA and ensemble model runs in the next 24-48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の東京の最高気温は?
30°C 33%
31°C 33%
29°C 14%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
33%
31°C
33%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
31°C 33%
29°C 14%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
33%
31°C
33%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on August 23, with a 30-50% chance of scattered showers and highs modeled near 31-34°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity—typical for late-summer East Asian monsoon influences—limit surface heating and promote modest cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects from any rainfall. Steering winds and regional pressure gradients remain the key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two, while climatological baselines show average August highs of 30.7°C. Updated JMA and ensemble model runs in the next 24-48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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