Recent model runs and observational trends point to a peak daily maximum in Istanbul on August 23 centered near 28–30 °C under stable high pressure, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits daytime heating but prevents extreme buildup. Current surface conditions show temperatures in the mid- to upper-20s °C with dew points supporting moderate humidity, while ensemble guidance indicates modest spread around the afternoon maximum due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 29 °C, placing the market-implied probabilities for 27–29 °C in line with the narrow range of outcomes favored by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts from global models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月23日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 20%
26°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
23°C or below
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
28%
28°C
37%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 20%
26°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
23°C or below
$25 Vol.
4%
24°C
$25 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$42 Vol.
6%
27°C
$64 Vol.
28%
28°C
$13 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$2 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends point to a peak daily maximum in Istanbul on August 23 centered near 28–30 °C under stable high pressure, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits daytime heating but prevents extreme buildup. Current surface conditions show temperatures in the mid- to upper-20s °C with dew points supporting moderate humidity, while ensemble guidance indicates modest spread around the afternoon maximum due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 29 °C, placing the market-implied probabilities for 27–29 °C in line with the narrow range of outcomes favored by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts from global models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$196終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends point to a peak daily maximum in Istanbul on August 23 centered near 28–30 °C under stable high pressure, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits daytime heating but prevents extreme buildup. Current surface conditions show temperatures in the mid- to upper-20s °C with dew points supporting moderate humidity, while ensemble guidance indicates modest spread around the afternoon maximum due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 29 °C, placing the market-implied probabilities for 27–29 °C in line with the narrow range of outcomes favored by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts from global models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$196終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and observational trends point to a peak daily maximum in Istanbul on August 23 centered near 28–30 °C under stable high pressure, light to moderate northeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits daytime heating but prevents extreme buildup. Current surface conditions show temperatures in the mid- to upper-20s °C with dew points supporting moderate humidity, while ensemble guidance indicates modest spread around the afternoon maximum due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 29 °C, placing the market-implied probabilities for 27–29 °C in line with the narrow range of outcomes favored by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts from global models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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