Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 23, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions, point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and high humidity near 70–80% are expected to limit solar heating and cap peaks, consistent with regional model consensus and climatological August averages around 32°C. Coastal location enhances sea-breeze moderation and convective activity that further suppresses extremes. Differentiation between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C hinges on precise timing of cloud breaks versus rain bands in updated NWP runs, with any clearer intervals or delayed precipitation potentially pushing the official station reading (typically measured at 2 m height) one degree higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の深センの最高気温は?
32°C 28%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 28%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 23, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions, point to a daytime maximum near 31–32°C as the most probable outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and high humidity near 70–80% are expected to limit solar heating and cap peaks, consistent with regional model consensus and climatological August averages around 32°C. Coastal location enhances sea-breeze moderation and convective activity that further suppresses extremes. Differentiation between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C hinges on precise timing of cloud breaks versus rain bands in updated NWP runs, with any clearer intervals or delayed precipitation potentially pushing the official station reading (typically measured at 2 m height) one degree higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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