Recent ensemble forecasts for Chongqing show a tight cluster around 36–37°C maxima on August 23, reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and moisture transport ahead of any weak frontal passage. Subtropical high pressure supports strong insolation and downslope warming from surrounding terrain, while high humidity (often >70%) limits nocturnal cooling and amplifies the urban heat-island effect in the densely built river valley. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, convective initiation timing, or local wind shifts can easily shift the daily peak by 1°C, accounting for the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C. Later runs from global models will refine these variables before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の重慶の最高気温は?
37°C 30%
36°C 28%
35°C 18%
38°C or higher 15%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
28%
37°C
30%
38°C or higher
15%
37°C 30%
36°C 28%
35°C 18%
38°C or higher 15%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
8%
35°C
18%
36°C
28%
37°C
30%
38°C or higher
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts for Chongqing show a tight cluster around 36–37°C maxima on August 23, reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and moisture transport ahead of any weak frontal passage. Subtropical high pressure supports strong insolation and downslope warming from surrounding terrain, while high humidity (often >70%) limits nocturnal cooling and amplifies the urban heat-island effect in the densely built river valley. Small differences in predicted cloud cover, convective initiation timing, or local wind shifts can easily shift the daily peak by 1°C, accounting for the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C. Later runs from global models will refine these variables before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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