Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31°C in Busan on August 23 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 31–34°C outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high sustains warm, humid air masses typical of late summer, while coastal sea breezes and potential cloud cover or light precipitation introduce modest cooling that keeps extremes above 35°C at low implied probability. Model consensus remains narrow given the short lead time, with differentiation among 31–34°C hinging on subtle shifts in afternoon insolation, humidity levels near 75–80%, and any late-day convective activity. Historical August averages near 29–31°C underscore the current setup's alignment with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の釜山の最高気温は？
8月23日の釜山の最高気温は？
34°C 37%
33°C 31%
31°C 19%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
19%
32°C
11%
33°C
31%
34°C
37%
35°C
11%
36°C
7%
37℃以上
5%
34°C 37%
33°C 31%
31°C 19%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
27°C or below
$95 Vol.
1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
1%
29°C
$95 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
31%
34°C
$0 Vol.
37%
35°C
$11 Vol.
11%
36°C
$0 Vol.
7%
37℃以上
$20 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31°C in Busan on August 23 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 31–34°C outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high sustains warm, humid air masses typical of late summer, while coastal sea breezes and potential cloud cover or light precipitation introduce modest cooling that keeps extremes above 35°C at low implied probability. Model consensus remains narrow given the short lead time, with differentiation among 31–34°C hinging on subtle shifts in afternoon insolation, humidity levels near 75–80%, and any late-day convective activity. Historical August averages near 29–31°C underscore the current setup's alignment with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$336終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31°C in Busan on August 23 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 31–34°C outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high sustains warm, humid air masses typical of late summer, while coastal sea breezes and potential cloud cover or light precipitation introduce modest cooling that keeps extremes above 35°C at low implied probability. Model consensus remains narrow given the short lead time, with differentiation among 31–34°C hinging on subtle shifts in afternoon insolation, humidity levels near 75–80%, and any late-day convective activity. Historical August averages near 29–31°C underscore the current setup's alignment with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$336終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31°C in Busan on August 23 amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 31–34°C outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high sustains warm, humid air masses typical of late summer, while coastal sea breezes and potential cloud cover or light precipitation introduce modest cooling that keeps extremes above 35°C at low implied probability. Model consensus remains narrow given the short lead time, with differentiation among 31–34°C hinging on subtle shifts in afternoon insolation, humidity levels near 75–80%, and any late-day convective activity. Historical August averages near 29–31°C underscore the current setup's alignment with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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