Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami highs near 91–93°F on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 89°F and mean maxima near 93–94°F, with extremes rarely surpassing 95°F absent unusual ridging. A recent 100°F reading on August 18 reflects transient heat but is expected to moderate amid typical sea-breeze and thunderstorm activity. Developing El Niño conditions add seasonal warmth yet introduce model uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the key data shift ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のマイアミの最高気温は?
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami highs near 91–93°F on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 89°F and mean maxima near 93–94°F, with extremes rarely surpassing 95°F absent unusual ridging. A recent 100°F reading on August 18 reflects transient heat but is expected to moderate amid typical sea-breeze and thunderstorm activity. Developing El Niño conditions add seasonal warmth yet introduce model uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the key data shift ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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