Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office place Moscow’s August 22 daytime maximum near 22–24°C, aligning with late-summer climatology of roughly 22°C average highs and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, light southerly or westerly flow influencing advection, and limited boundary-layer mixing that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in these parameters, with any increase in showers or thicker cloud decks likely capping the high near 22°C while clearer conditions could push it to 24°C. Updated short-range model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月22日のモスクワの最高気温は？
23°C 39%
24°C 30%
22°C 27%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
17°C or below
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
39%
24°C
30%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
7%
23°C 39%
24°C 30%
22°C 27%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/22
17°C or below
$17 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
7%
19°C
$10 Vol.
6%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C
$26 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$26 Vol.
39%
24°C
$18 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$32 Vol.
5%
27°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office place Moscow’s August 22 daytime maximum near 22–24°C, aligning with late-summer climatology of roughly 22°C average highs and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, light southerly or westerly flow influencing advection, and limited boundary-layer mixing that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in these parameters, with any increase in showers or thicker cloud decks likely capping the high near 22°C while clearer conditions could push it to 24°C. Updated short-range model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$148終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office place Moscow’s August 22 daytime maximum near 22–24°C, aligning with late-summer climatology of roughly 22°C average highs and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, light southerly or westerly flow influencing advection, and limited boundary-layer mixing that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in these parameters, with any increase in showers or thicker cloud decks likely capping the high near 22°C while clearer conditions could push it to 24°C. Updated short-range model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$148終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office place Moscow’s August 22 daytime maximum near 22–24°C, aligning with late-summer climatology of roughly 22°C average highs and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, light southerly or westerly flow influencing advection, and limited boundary-layer mixing that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in these parameters, with any increase in showers or thicker cloud decks likely capping the high near 22°C while clearer conditions could push it to 24°C. Updated short-range model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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