The dominant 95% market-implied probability for a 27°C low in Hong Kong on August 22 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–32°C under a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, with southwest winds and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Current surface observations from multiple stations show daytime readings near 29–31°C and dew points supporting minima around 27°C, consistent with late-summer climatology. This positioning could be challenged only by an unexpectedly rapid intensification of showers or a shift to stronger northerly flow that enhances cooling below forecast guidance before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日の香港の最低気温は?
27℃ 98%
25°C 2%
26℃ 2%
24℃ <1%
$31,649 Vol.
$31,649 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
2%
26℃
2%
27℃
98%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
27℃ 98%
25°C 2%
26℃ 2%
24℃ <1%
$31,649 Vol.
$31,649 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
2%
26℃
2%
27℃
98%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant 95% market-implied probability for a 27°C low in Hong Kong on August 22 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–32°C under a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, with southwest winds and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Current surface observations from multiple stations show daytime readings near 29–31°C and dew points supporting minima around 27°C, consistent with late-summer climatology. This positioning could be challenged only by an unexpectedly rapid intensification of showers or a shift to stronger northerly flow that enhances cooling below forecast guidance before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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