Recent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の青島の最高気温は?
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
33℃ 18%
30℃ 13%
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
2%
29℃
12%
30℃
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
31%
33℃
18%
34℃以上
11%
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
33℃ 18%
30℃ 13%
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
2%
29℃
12%
30℃
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
31%
33℃
18%
34℃以上
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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