Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の青島の最低気温は?
22°C以下 87%
32℃以上 46%
28℃ 37%
23℃ 36%
22°C以下
87%
23℃
36%
24℃
19%
25°C
19%
26℃
19%
27°C
19%
28℃
37%
29℃
2%
30℃
36%
31℃
36%
32℃以上
46%
22°C以下 87%
32℃以上 46%
28℃ 37%
23℃ 36%
22°C以下
87%
23℃
36%
24℃
19%
25°C
19%
26℃
19%
27°C
19%
28℃
37%
29℃
2%
30℃
36%
31℃
36%
32℃以上
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問