Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and the Met Office project an overnight low near 14°C for Paris on August 24, with a tight cluster of guidance between 13–16°C driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits both daytime heating and radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-August climatological average minimum of 13.9°C while recent model runs show little spread, keeping the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor uncertainties in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the daily minimum against the consensus range, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のパリの最低気温は？
8月24日のパリの最低気温は？
14℃ 41%
13℃ 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
11°C以下
6%
12°C
9%
13℃
27%
14℃
41%
15°C
18%
16°C
9%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19℃
5%
20°C
5%
21°C以上
3%
14℃ 41%
13℃ 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
11°C以下
$4 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13℃
$0 Vol.
27%
14℃
$0 Vol.
41%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19℃
$5 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
5%
21°C以上
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and the Met Office project an overnight low near 14°C for Paris on August 24, with a tight cluster of guidance between 13–16°C driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits both daytime heating and radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-August climatological average minimum of 13.9°C while recent model runs show little spread, keeping the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor uncertainties in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the daily minimum against the consensus range, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
音量
$19終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and the Met Office project an overnight low near 14°C for Paris on August 24, with a tight cluster of guidance between 13–16°C driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits both daytime heating and radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-August climatological average minimum of 13.9°C while recent model runs show little spread, keeping the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor uncertainties in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the daily minimum against the consensus range, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$19終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and the Met Office project an overnight low near 14°C for Paris on August 24, with a tight cluster of guidance between 13–16°C driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits both daytime heating and radiative cooling. This aligns with the late-August climatological average minimum of 13.9°C while recent model runs show little spread, keeping the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 13–15°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh minor uncertainties in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of the daily minimum against the consensus range, with limited upside risk for warmer readings given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問