Current forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s near-even split between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (45%). Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of peak insolation, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether readings reach the upper threshold. Stable high pressure and continental airflow limit stronger warming, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月24日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
22℃ 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 11%
23°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
17℃以下
1%
18℃
1%
19℃
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
37%
22℃
45%
23°C
11%
24℃
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27℃以上
2%
22℃ 45%
21°C 37%
20°C 11%
23°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
17℃以下
$10 Vol.
1%
18℃
$10 Vol.
1%
19℃
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$10 Vol.
11%
21°C
$94 Vol.
37%
22℃
$158 Vol.
45%
23°C
$10 Vol.
11%
24℃
$10 Vol.
5%
25°C
$3 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27℃以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s near-even split between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (45%). Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of peak insolation, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether readings reach the upper threshold. Stable high pressure and continental airflow limit stronger warming, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
音量
$320終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s near-even split between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (45%). Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of peak insolation, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether readings reach the upper threshold. Stable high pressure and continental airflow limit stronger warming, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$320終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s near-even split between 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (45%). Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, timing of peak insolation, and boundary-layer mixing determine whether readings reach the upper threshold. Stable high pressure and continental airflow limit stronger warming, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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