Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 22 as the most probable outcome, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and urban heat retention. Light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating remains strong, though scattered showers could cap extremes. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 22 as the most probable outcome, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and urban heat retention. Light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating remains strong, though scattered showers could cap extremes. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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