Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日の上海の最低気温は?
27°C 55%
28℃ 18%
26°C 14%
24℃ 6%
22°C以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
55%
28℃
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
<1%
27°C 55%
28℃ 18%
26°C 14%
24℃ 6%
22°C以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
55%
28℃
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 22 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and easterly flow without significant frontal cooling or typhoon influence. This positions 27°C as the market leader, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from seasonal baselines around 25–26°C. Persistent subtropical conditions and high moisture content limit sharper drops, while any heavier rainfall could nudge minima slightly higher. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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