Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show cooler Atlantic air reaching Paris by August 22, driving the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C lows. Clearer skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime highs near 23°C limit afternoon recovery. Model spreads center on the exact timing of this air mass transition and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August minima around 14°C providing context for the below-average readings. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のパリの最低気温は?
12°C 34%
11℃ 32%
13°C 15%
10℃ 10%
9°C以下
3%
10℃
10%
11℃
19%
12°C
34%
13°C
15%
14°C
10%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
12°C 34%
11℃ 32%
13°C 15%
10℃ 10%
9°C以下
3%
10℃
10%
11℃
19%
12°C
34%
13°C
15%
14°C
10%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show cooler Atlantic air reaching Paris by August 22, driving the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C lows. Clearer skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime highs near 23°C limit afternoon recovery. Model spreads center on the exact timing of this air mass transition and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August minima around 14°C providing context for the below-average readings. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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