Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow, positioning the Paris minimum near 13–15°C on August 21. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting stable high pressure and modest dew points that favor the observed 14–15°C clustering in trader pricing. Earlier August warmth has given way to this seasonal moderation without extreme advection or precipitation signals that could alter the low. Updated model guidance through the evening will refine exact readings, with official station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly serving as the resolution benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のパリの最低気温は?
15℃ 53%
14°C 42%
13℃ 27%
16℃ 13%
11℃以下
5%
12°C
5%
13℃
23%
14°C
29%
15℃
53%
16℃
16%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
15℃ 53%
14°C 42%
13℃ 27%
16℃ 13%
11℃以下
5%
12°C
5%
13℃
23%
14°C
29%
15℃
53%
16℃
16%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly flow, positioning the Paris minimum near 13–15°C on August 21. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, reflecting stable high pressure and modest dew points that favor the observed 14–15°C clustering in trader pricing. Earlier August warmth has given way to this seasonal moderation without extreme advection or precipitation signals that could alter the low. Updated model guidance through the evening will refine exact readings, with official station data from Paris-Montsouris or Orly serving as the resolution benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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