Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooling trend with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, positioning a 16°C minimum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 20. Daytime highs near 25–26°C followed by evening showers have enhanced surface heat loss, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 14–15°C yet tempered by residual warmth from mid-August highs above 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow around 15–17°C, with minimal risk of deeper drops absent stronger high-pressure development or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日のパリの最低気温は？
8月20日のパリの最低気温は？
16℃ 55%
15°C 39%
17°C 21%
14℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
11℃以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14℃
10%
15°C
22%
16℃
55%
17°C
21%
18℃
5%
19℃
3%
20℃
1%
21℃以上
<1%
16℃ 55%
15°C 39%
17°C 21%
14℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
11℃以下
$10 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$10 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
1%
14℃
$41 Vol.
10%
15°C
$13 Vol.
22%
16℃
$38 Vol.
55%
17°C
$10 Vol.
21%
18℃
$10 Vol.
5%
19℃
$30 Vol.
3%
20℃
$90 Vol.
1%
21℃以上
$316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooling trend with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, positioning a 16°C minimum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 20. Daytime highs near 25–26°C followed by evening showers have enhanced surface heat loss, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 14–15°C yet tempered by residual warmth from mid-August highs above 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow around 15–17°C, with minimal risk of deeper drops absent stronger high-pressure development or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$575終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooling trend with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, positioning a 16°C minimum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 20. Daytime highs near 25–26°C followed by evening showers have enhanced surface heat loss, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 14–15°C yet tempered by residual warmth from mid-August highs above 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow around 15–17°C, with minimal risk of deeper drops absent stronger high-pressure development or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$575終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a cooling trend with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, positioning a 16°C minimum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 20. Daytime highs near 25–26°C followed by evening showers have enhanced surface heat loss, consistent with climatological August lows averaging 14–15°C yet tempered by residual warmth from mid-August highs above 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow around 15–17°C, with minimal risk of deeper drops absent stronger high-pressure development or clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問