Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 31–33°C in Shanghai on August 24, with clearing skies after recent showers supporting radiative heating under the subtropical ridge. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32°C because southeast winds and residual moisture from earlier systems are expected to limit extreme warming, while daytime insolation could push peaks near the upper end of that range. Historical late-August averages hover around 31°C, providing a baseline against which short-term model spreads in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed market balance. Updated runs from agencies like the CMA will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の上海の最高気温は?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 17%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 17%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 31–33°C in Shanghai on August 24, with clearing skies after recent showers supporting radiative heating under the subtropical ridge. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32°C because southeast winds and residual moisture from earlier systems are expected to limit extreme warming, while daytime insolation could push peaks near the upper end of that range. Historical late-August averages hover around 31°C, providing a baseline against which short-term model spreads in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed market balance. Updated runs from agencies like the CMA will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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