Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の上海の最高気温は?
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
44%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
44%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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