Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional analyses point to a late-August peak in Chengdu of 34–36°C driven by the Sichuan Basin’s heat-trapping topography, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and reduced cloud cover on August 24. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating while isolated thunderstorms may briefly suppress maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology shows typical highs near 31–33°C with occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens; the narrow spread among leading market outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak readings rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or clearer skies tip the outcome toward 35°C versus 34°C or 36°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の成都の最高気温は？
8月24日の成都の最高気温は？
36℃ 26%
35℃ 24%
34℃ 24%
33℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
28℃以下
4%
29℃
4%
30℃
4%
31℃
2%
32℃
5%
33℃
13%
34℃
24%
35℃
24%
36℃
26%
37°C
12%
38°C以上
5%
36℃ 26%
35℃ 24%
34℃ 24%
33℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
28℃以下
$5 Vol.
4%
29℃
$5 Vol.
4%
30℃
$5 Vol.
4%
31℃
$30 Vol.
2%
32℃
$259 Vol.
5%
33℃
$25 Vol.
13%
34℃
$59 Vol.
24%
35℃
$74 Vol.
24%
36℃
$3 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
12%
38°C以上
$162 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional analyses point to a late-August peak in Chengdu of 34–36°C driven by the Sichuan Basin’s heat-trapping topography, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and reduced cloud cover on August 24. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating while isolated thunderstorms may briefly suppress maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology shows typical highs near 31–33°C with occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens; the narrow spread among leading market outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak readings rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or clearer skies tip the outcome toward 35°C versus 34°C or 36°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$627終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional analyses point to a late-August peak in Chengdu of 34–36°C driven by the Sichuan Basin’s heat-trapping topography, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and reduced cloud cover on August 24. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating while isolated thunderstorms may briefly suppress maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology shows typical highs near 31–33°C with occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens; the narrow spread among leading market outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak readings rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or clearer skies tip the outcome toward 35°C versus 34°C or 36°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$627終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional analyses point to a late-August peak in Chengdu of 34–36°C driven by the Sichuan Basin’s heat-trapping topography, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and reduced cloud cover on August 24. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating while isolated thunderstorms may briefly suppress maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology shows typical highs near 31–33°C with occasional excursions above 35°C when subsidence strengthens; the narrow spread among leading market outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak readings rather than large-scale shifts. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will clarify whether convective activity or clearer skies tip the outcome toward 35°C versus 34°C or 36°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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