Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to a highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24 most likely falling in the 32–34°C range, reflecting the influence of persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity near 80%, and potential afternoon thundershowers that can suppress peak readings through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. With the market showing closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C, traders are weighing the typical late-August climatology of 33°C daily highs against short-term variability from rain timing and any weak tropical moisture influx. Official guidance emphasizes modest day-to-day shifts in maximum temperatures due to these factors, with updated model runs expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の広州の最高気温は?
33℃ 27%
35℃以上 21%
34℃ 20%
32℃ 18%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30℃
10%
31°C
12%
32℃
18%
33℃
27%
34℃
27%
35℃以上
21%
33℃ 27%
35℃以上 21%
34℃ 20%
32℃ 18%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30℃
10%
31°C
12%
32℃
18%
33℃
27%
34℃
27%
35℃以上
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to a highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24 most likely falling in the 32–34°C range, reflecting the influence of persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity near 80%, and potential afternoon thundershowers that can suppress peak readings through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. With the market showing closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C, traders are weighing the typical late-August climatology of 33°C daily highs against short-term variability from rain timing and any weak tropical moisture influx. Official guidance emphasizes modest day-to-day shifts in maximum temperatures due to these factors, with updated model runs expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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