Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 24 indicate daytime highs near 32°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity, partly cloudy skies, and a 70% chance of afternoon thundershowers. These convective patterns and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as stronger insolation under clearer breaks could allow peaks at or above 32°C while persistent showers and evaporative cooling favor 29–31°C outcomes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these levels because regional low-pressure influences and urban heat effects create narrow variability, with model consensus from sources like the CWA showing limited potential for extremes given the season’s average highs near 33°C and frequent rainfall. Updated model runs and next-day observational trends will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の台北の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 22%
29°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 19%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
22%
32°C or higher 22%
29°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 19%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 24 indicate daytime highs near 32°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity, partly cloudy skies, and a 70% chance of afternoon thundershowers. These convective patterns and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as stronger insolation under clearer breaks could allow peaks at or above 32°C while persistent showers and evaporative cooling favor 29–31°C outcomes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these levels because regional low-pressure influences and urban heat effects create narrow variability, with model consensus from sources like the CWA showing limited potential for extremes given the season’s average highs near 33°C and frequent rainfall. Updated model runs and next-day observational trends will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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