Recent meteorological guidance for Chongqing points to a probable daily maximum near 36°C on August 24, reflecting the city's subtropical monsoon climate where late-August highs commonly reach 33–37°C under persistent high pressure and high humidity. Trader consensus around this outcome incorporates ensemble model spreads from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, which highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C, and steering patterns that modulate heat advection from surrounding terrain. Historical August data show frequent excursions above 38°C during clear, stagnant periods, while increased precipitation lowers the ceiling toward 34–35°C, producing the observed broad probability distribution across adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の重慶の最高気温は?
36°C 30%
37°C 25%
38°C 20%
35°C 16%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
10%
34°C
13%
35°C
16%
36°C
30%
37°C
25%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
14%
36°C 30%
37°C 25%
38°C 20%
35°C 16%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
10%
34°C
13%
35°C
16%
36°C
30%
37°C
25%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological guidance for Chongqing points to a probable daily maximum near 36°C on August 24, reflecting the city's subtropical monsoon climate where late-August highs commonly reach 33–37°C under persistent high pressure and high humidity. Trader consensus around this outcome incorporates ensemble model spreads from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, which highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C, and steering patterns that modulate heat advection from surrounding terrain. Historical August data show frequent excursions above 38°C during clear, stagnant periods, while increased precipitation lowers the ceiling toward 34–35°C, producing the observed broad probability distribution across adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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