Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime minimum near 25–27°C for Chongqing on August 24, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Elevated dew points near 25°C and persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern suppress temperature drops, while urban heat retention in the region adds further warmth. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model spread in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify whether stronger overnight convection or clearer skies shift the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の重慶の最低気温は?
19°C or below 80%
29°C or higher 45%
24°C 44%
27°C 44%
19°C or below
80%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
44%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
44%
28°C
42%
29°C or higher
45%
19°C or below 80%
29°C or higher 45%
24°C 44%
27°C 44%
19°C or below
80%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
44%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
44%
28°C
42%
29°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a nighttime minimum near 25–27°C for Chongqing on August 24, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Elevated dew points near 25°C and persistent cloud cover from the active monsoon pattern suppress temperature drops, while urban heat retention in the region adds further warmth. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model spread in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will clarify whether stronger overnight convection or clearer skies shift the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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