Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and KMA indicate Busan overnight lows around 24–27°C on August 25 amid persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 75–85% reduces radiative heat loss, while the coastal location and urban heat island effect anchor minimums well above historical averages near 24°C but below peak summer extremes. Clear skies may allow modest drops, yet steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 28°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の釜山の最低気温は?
20°C or below 96%
30°C or higher 95%
21°C 84%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
84%
22°C
25%
23°C
43%
24°C
43%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
95%
20°C or below 96%
30°C or higher 95%
21°C 84%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
84%
22°C
25%
23°C
43%
24°C
43%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and KMA indicate Busan overnight lows around 24–27°C on August 25 amid persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 75–85% reduces radiative heat loss, while the coastal location and urban heat island effect anchor minimums well above historical averages near 24°C but below peak summer extremes. Clear skies may allow modest drops, yet steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 28°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問