Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月25日のマドリードの最高気温は？
28°C 44%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
28%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
24°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$32 Vol.
17%
28°C
$21 Vol.
44%
29°C
$10 Vol.
28%
30°C
$10 Vol.
8%
31°C
$15 Vol.
6%
32°C
$4 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$126終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$126終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including AEMET indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 25 will likely reach 27–29°C, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a cooling trend following earlier August peaks above 35°C. Model consensus points to partly to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating, consistent with historical patterns of late-summer moderation. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 30.5%, as traders weigh short-range guidance and potential model revisions ahead of the event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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