Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, aligning with the market's leading probabilities for 24°C and 23°C. Northerly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate high pressure are suppressing daytime warming, keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 24.5–25.7°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside risk from cloud cover or advection changes, with low precipitation chances reinforcing stable readings. Traders are weighting the narrow 23–24°C band heavily as the final model runs and observational updates approach, reflecting low expected variance in this short-range temperature outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のパリの最高気温は?
24°C 49%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
37%
24°C
49%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
37%
24°C
49%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, aligning with the market's leading probabilities for 24°C and 23°C. Northerly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions under moderate high pressure are suppressing daytime warming, keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 24.5–25.7°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside risk from cloud cover or advection changes, with low precipitation chances reinforcing stable readings. Traders are weighting the narrow 23–24°C band heavily as the final model runs and observational updates approach, reflecting low expected variance in this short-range temperature outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問