Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の青島の最低気温は?
28°C 51%
22℃以下 49%
32℃以上 48%
30°C 46%
22℃以下
49%
23℃
24%
24℃
24%
25°C
26%
26℃
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
51%
29°C
2%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32℃以上
48%
28°C 51%
22℃以下 49%
32℃以上 48%
30°C 46%
22℃以下
49%
23℃
24%
24℃
24%
25°C
26%
26℃
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
51%
29°C
2%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32℃以上
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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