Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover over Beijing on August 25, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as lingering monsoon moisture and potential for heavier rain could enhance cooling relative to the 20.6°C historical average low. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and local agencies will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift resolution thresholds before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の北京の最低気温は?
31°C or higher 48%
21°C or below 41%
24°C 31%
25°C 31%
21°C or below
41%
22°C
23%
23°C
23%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
48%
31°C or higher 48%
21°C or below 41%
24°C 31%
25°C 31%
21°C or below
41%
22°C
23%
23°C
23%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover over Beijing on August 25, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as lingering monsoon moisture and potential for heavier rain could enhance cooling relative to the 20.6°C historical average low. Upcoming model updates from NOAA and local agencies will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift resolution thresholds before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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