Trader consensus around 27–28°C minimums in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects typical late-summer conditions dominated by humid southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, which limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27°C amid cloud cover and light winds, consistent with August climatology of 26–28°C. Differentiation among 26–29°C hinges on exact timing and extent of convective activity, urban heat retention, and any subtle steering influences from distant tropical systems. With no major typhoon or frontal passage imminent, probabilities cluster tightly around historical norms, though updated model runs on wind and humidity could shift the balance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の香港の最低気温は?
27°C 39%
28°C 39%
26°C 16%
29°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 39%
26°C 16%
29°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 27–28°C minimums in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects typical late-summer conditions dominated by humid southwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, which limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27°C amid cloud cover and light winds, consistent with August climatology of 26–28°C. Differentiation among 26–29°C hinges on exact timing and extent of convective activity, urban heat retention, and any subtle steering influences from distant tropical systems. With no major typhoon or frontal passage imminent, probabilities cluster tightly around historical norms, though updated model runs on wind and humidity could shift the balance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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