Persistent rainfall and cloud cover driven by nearby tropical systems, including Typhoon Zitan in the northern Gulf of Tonkin and Jianlawei east of Taiwan, are the main factors capping highs for Shenzhen on August 26. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project daytime maxima of 30–33°C under frequent thunderstorms and heavy rain, with limited sunshine reducing surface heating compared to clearer summer conditions. This setup aligns with typical late-August climatology of 31–33°C averages but suppresses potential extremes above 35°C. Updated model consensus and any shifts in storm tracks will be key near-term drivers of trader positioning on specific temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の深センの最高気温は?
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
25°C or below
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
8%
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
25°C or below
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rainfall and cloud cover driven by nearby tropical systems, including Typhoon Zitan in the northern Gulf of Tonkin and Jianlawei east of Taiwan, are the main factors capping highs for Shenzhen on August 26. Official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project daytime maxima of 30–33°C under frequent thunderstorms and heavy rain, with limited sunshine reducing surface heating compared to clearer summer conditions. This setup aligns with typical late-August climatology of 31–33°C averages but suppresses potential extremes above 35°C. Updated model consensus and any shifts in storm tracks will be key near-term drivers of trader positioning on specific temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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