Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月26日のマドリードの最高気温は？
29°C 43%
30°C 29%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
25°C or below
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
23%
29°C
43%
30°C
29%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 43%
30°C 29%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$9 Vol.
43%
30°C
$0 Vol.
29%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$0 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$19終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$19終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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