Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 26 show high uncertainty around peak afternoon temperatures, with official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance projecting a 34°C maximum amid isolated thunderstorms, while other models cluster near 32–33°C. Afternoon convective clouds and precipitation, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and surface heating in the equatorial monsoon transition, frequently limit insolation and cap daily highs by 1–3°C through evaporative cooling and reduced solar input. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability in thunderstorm timing and intensity creates the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds, with 34°C remaining plausible if convection remains suppressed. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のクアラルンプールの最高気温は?
32℃ 34%
33℃ 32%
34℃ 16%
31°C 14%
27°C以下
1%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
14%
32℃
34%
33℃
32%
34℃
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C以上
1%
32℃ 34%
33℃ 32%
34℃ 16%
31°C 14%
27°C以下
1%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
14%
32℃
34%
33℃
32%
34℃
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 26 show high uncertainty around peak afternoon temperatures, with official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance projecting a 34°C maximum amid isolated thunderstorms, while other models cluster near 32–33°C. Afternoon convective clouds and precipitation, driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and surface heating in the equatorial monsoon transition, frequently limit insolation and cap daily highs by 1–3°C through evaporative cooling and reduced solar input. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability in thunderstorm timing and intensity creates the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds, with 34°C remaining plausible if convection remains suppressed. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問