Forecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の成都の最高気温は？
8月26日の成都の最高気温は？
35°C 25%
36°C 21%
34°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
12%
34°C
19%
35°C
25%
36°C
21%
37°C or higher
15%
35°C 25%
36°C 21%
34°C 19%
37°C or higher 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$5 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$95 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$7 Vol.
19%
35°C
$22 Vol.
25%
36°C
$0 Vol.
21%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$139終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$139終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, show high uncertainty around peak temperatures near 34–36°C, driving the even split in trader sentiment between those outcomes. Recent short-range guidance from sources like timeanddate and weather aggregators indicates daytime highs around 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which would limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Clearer conditions or delayed convective activity could allow stronger diurnal warming in the humid subtropical basin climate, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Key variables include steering patterns of regional moisture and the strength of any monsoon-related troughs. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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