Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across 25–26°C and lower thresholds, reflecting forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather that currently project a minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 26 amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered showers. Primary drivers include regional atmospheric patterns such as monsoon influences and cloud cover that moderate overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal baselines of 24–26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Minor model spread on wind or precipitation timing creates uncertainty that sustains bids on both 20°C-or-below and higher 26–27°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings within the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の成都の最低気温は？
8月26日の成都の最低気温は？
20°C or below 55%
30°C or higher 55%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
20°C or below
55%
21°C
37%
22°C
47%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
31%
27°C
24%
28°C
2%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
55%
20°C or below 55%
30°C or higher 55%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
55%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across 25–26°C and lower thresholds, reflecting forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather that currently project a minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 26 amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered showers. Primary drivers include regional atmospheric patterns such as monsoon influences and cloud cover that moderate overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal baselines of 24–26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Minor model spread on wind or precipitation timing creates uncertainty that sustains bids on both 20°C-or-below and higher 26–27°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across 25–26°C and lower thresholds, reflecting forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather that currently project a minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 26 amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered showers. Primary drivers include regional atmospheric patterns such as monsoon influences and cloud cover that moderate overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal baselines of 24–26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Minor model spread on wind or precipitation timing creates uncertainty that sustains bids on both 20°C-or-below and higher 26–27°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities across 25–26°C and lower thresholds, reflecting forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather that currently project a minimum near 25°C for Chengdu on August 26 amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered showers. Primary drivers include regional atmospheric patterns such as monsoon influences and cloud cover that moderate overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows near seasonal baselines of 24–26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Minor model spread on wind or precipitation timing creates uncertainty that sustains bids on both 20°C-or-below and higher 26–27°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings within the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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